Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
18.28%
increased by 0.58%
1 Week
18.26%
increased by 0.56%
1 Month
18.19%
increased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 1996 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 224% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 224% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0087 | 1.46 |
| αARCH | 0.2020 | 13.84*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9648 | 221.54*** |
| γleverage | -0.1067 | -7.42*** |
0.965
Persistence19d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0087 | 1.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2020 | 13.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9648 | 221.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1067 | -7.42*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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