V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
14.18%
decreased by 1.28%
1 Week
14.43%
decreased by 1.03%
1 Month
15.24%
decreased by 0.22%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 81% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 81% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0346 | 5.85*** |
| αARCH | 0.1440 | 7.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7721 | 69.31*** |
| γleverage | 0.1173 | 3.89*** |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0346 | 5.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1440 | 7.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7721 | 69.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1173 | 3.89*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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