V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
12.87%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
13.21%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
14.31%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0347 | 23.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1443 | 30.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7716 | 276.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1178 | 15.58*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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