V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
15.67%
decreased by 1.36%
1 Week
15.83%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Month
16.36%
decreased by 0.67%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0346 | 23.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1441 | 30.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7718 | 276.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1182 | 15.62*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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