V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
14.20%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
14.45%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Month
15.26%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 13, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 81% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 81% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0346 | 5.86*** |
| αARCH | 0.1439 | 7.66*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7723 | 69.42*** |
| γleverage | 0.1171 | 3.89*** |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0346 | 5.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1439 | 7.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7723 | 69.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1171 | 3.89*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
Other Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equity Indices