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Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

14.58%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

14.80%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

15.54%

increased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 40-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0274
6.44***
αARCH0.1280
13.04***
βGARCH0.8547
86.61***

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0274
6.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1280
13.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8547
86.61***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days