Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
17.32%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Week
17.42%
decreased by 0.79%
1 Month
17.77%
decreased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0273 | 25.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1285 | 52.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8545 | 345.10*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
Other Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices