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Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

16.61%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

16.71%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

17.02%

increased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0368
6.95***
αARCH0.0357
3.25***
βGARCH0.8566
92.16***
γleverage0.1600
6.13***

0.972

Persistence

25d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0368
6.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0357
3.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8566
92.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1600
6.13***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days