Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
28.54%
decreased by 1.94%
1 Week
28.09%
decreased by 2.39%
1 Month
26.54%
decreased by 3.94%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 1996 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0366 | 27.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0349 | 12.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8570 | 369.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1616 | 24.71*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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