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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

28.54%

decreased by 1.94%

1 Week

28.09%

decreased by 2.39%

1 Month

26.54%

decreased by 3.94%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0366
27.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0349
12.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8570
369.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1616
24.71***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days