Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

15.43%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Week

15.60%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Month

16.16%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0369
6.96***
αARCH0.0359
3.25***
βGARCH0.8560
91.85***
γleverage0.1610
6.15***

0.972

Persistence

25d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0369
6.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0359
3.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8560
91.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1610
6.15***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days