V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.07%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
12.49%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
13.80%
increased by 1.19%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0369 | 27.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0359 | 13.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8558 | 366.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1614 | 24.61*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
25 days
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