Skip to main content
V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

12.07%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

12.49%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Month

13.80%

increased by 1.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0369
27.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0359
13.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8558
366.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1614
24.61***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days