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Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

19.96%

increased by 4.54%

1 Week

19.87%

increased by 4.45%

1 Month

19.59%

increased by 4.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0368
6.95***
αARCH0.0359
3.25***
βGARCH0.8562
91.97***
γleverage0.1605
6.14***

0.972

Persistence

25d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0368
6.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0359
3.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8562
91.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1605
6.14***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days