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Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

17.85%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

17.89%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

18.04%

decreased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-lifev = 10.69 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run1.4506
2.51**
αscore0.1118
8.04***
βpersistence0.9838
141.41***
νDF10.6859
1.12

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

1.4506
2.51**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1118
8.04***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9838
141.41***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.6859
1.12

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days