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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

16.45%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

16.61%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

17.20%

decreased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0053
0.53
βGARCH0.8228
68.15***
γleverage0.1951
11.81***
λ₁tau intercept0.0581
2.48**
λ₂forecast adj.0.2769
3.61***
λ₃tau persistence0.6760
7.34***

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0053
0.53
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8228
68.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1951
11.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0581
2.48**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2769
3.61***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6760
7.34***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days