Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, November 13th, 2026

1 Day

14.05%

increased by 0.43%

1 Week

14.42%

increased by 0.80%

1 Month

15.41%

increased by 1.79%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/12/2024

to

11/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0081
0.76
βGARCH0.8088
61.67***
γleverage0.2036
11.84***
λ₁tau intercept0.0144
2.39**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0650
3.48***
λ₃tau persistence0.9235
41.35***

0.919

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0081
0.76
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8088
61.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2036
11.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0144
2.39**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0650
3.48***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9235
41.35***

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days