V-Lab
Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.06%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
14.87%
increased by 0.47%
1 Month
16.67%
increased by 2.27%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0050 | 1.71* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8225 | 271.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1957 | 48.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0579 | 1.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2778 | 1.47 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6756 | 3.06*** |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
Other Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices