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V-Lab

Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.06%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

14.87%

increased by 0.47%

1 Month

16.67%

increased by 2.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0050
1.71*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8225
271.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1957
48.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0579
1.54
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2778
1.47
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6756
3.06***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days