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Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

15.54%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

15.71%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

16.06%

decreased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Borse AG DAX Mid-Cap Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0081
0.76
βGARCH0.8084
61.51***
γleverage0.2040
11.84***
λ₁tau intercept0.0146
2.39**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0657
3.47***
λ₃tau persistence0.9226
40.75***

0.919

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0081
0.76
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8084
61.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2040
11.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0146
2.39**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0657
3.47***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9226
40.75***

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days