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V-Lab

Egyptian Financial Group Hermes Stock Market Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026

1 Day

15.86%

increased by 0.20%

1 Week

16.90%

increased by 1.24%

1 Month

19.70%

increased by 4.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Egyptian Financial Group Hermes Stock Market Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1995 to Aug 13, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0672
10.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2295
12.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9141
75.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0386
-5.91***

Persistence:

0.914

Half-life:

8 days