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V-Lab
V-Lab

Bangladesh Dhaka Stock Exchange Broad Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

16.81%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Week

16.70%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Month

17.53%

increased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bangladesh Dhaka Stock Exchange Broad Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2013 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 58% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.1386
5.61***
βGARCH0.7927
49.91***
γleverage0.0804
2.67***
λ₁tau intercept0.0411
1.20
λ₂forecast adj.0.5476
3.83***
λ₃tau persistence0.4183
2.90***

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1386
5.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7927
49.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0804
2.67***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0411
1.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5476
3.83***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4183
2.90***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days