V-Lab
Bangladesh Dhaka Stock Exchange Broad Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026
1 Day
9.51%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
9.91%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
11.89%
increased by 1.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 05:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2013 to Aug 13, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1401 | 34.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7909 | 195.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0818 | 13.21*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0419 | 7.54*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5369 | 11.16*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4277 | 7.80*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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