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V-Lab

Bangladesh Dhaka Stock Exchange Broad Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

9.16%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

9.82%

increased by 0.08%

1 Month

12.22%

increased by 2.48%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bangladesh Dhaka Stock Exchange Broad Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2013 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1407
34.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7909
195.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0813
13.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0419
7.56***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5374
11.19***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4286
7.85***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days