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V-Lab

Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

14,619.45%

increased by 1,190.14%

1 Week

14,604.84%

increased by 1,175.53%

1 Month

14,546.63%

increased by 1,117.32%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 23, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4016
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0878
31.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
4,646.51***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days