MSCI COLCAP Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
15.85%
decreased by 4.06%
1 Week
2,015.02%
increased by 1,995.11%
1 Month
5,490,454,625,984.99%
increased by 5,490,454,625,965.08%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7197 | 7,197,260.00 | |
| 0.0303 | 302,740.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.4215 | 11.04 | |
| 0.5773 | 13.36 | |
| 0.0396 | 0.52 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 16, 2008 to Apr 30, 2026
Jan 16, 2008 to Apr 30, 2026
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