MSCI COLCAP Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 4th, 2026
1 Day
38.59%
increased by 16.55%
1 Week
79.32%
increased by 57.28%
1 Month
2,588.13%
increased by 2,566.09%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 03:34 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7197 | 7,197,260.00 | |
| 0.0303 | 302,740.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.4215 | 11.04 | |
| 0.5773 | 13.36 | |
| 0.0396 | 0.52 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 16, 2008 to Apr 30, 2026
Jan 16, 2008 to Apr 30, 2026
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