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V-Lab

MSCI COLCAP Index MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

18.25%

increased by 2.78%

1 Week

18.32%

increased by 2.85%

1 Month

18.56%

increased by 3.09%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MSCI COLCAP Index MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2008 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0399
2.60***
αARCH0.2279
8.85***
βGARCH0.7460
40.14***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0399
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2279
8.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7460
40.14***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days