V-Lab: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

V-Lab

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, July 10th, 2025:19.02% (-0.76%)

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 07:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	36
$α$	0.0327	12.28
$β$	0.8214	173.30
$γ$	0.1405	30.36
$λ_{1}$	0.0026	4.99
$λ_{2}$	0.0267	8.52
$λ_{3}$	0.9721	289.24

Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 4, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts

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