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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

51.03%

increased by 1.19%

1 Week

62.47%

increased by 12.63%

1 Month

70.47%

increased by 20.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 170% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6471
25.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0137
1.14
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4074
-10.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.5906
0.80
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7846
3.02***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.457

Half-life:

1 days