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V-Lab

Havila Kystruten As APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

56.22%

decreased by 4.52%

1 Week

57.70%

decreased by 3.04%

1 Month

62.00%

increased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Havila Kystruten As APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9048
3.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1595
13.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7950
50.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1097
3.09***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0156
13.36***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days