V-Lab
Havila Kystruten As APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
56.22%
decreased by 4.52%
1 Week
57.70%
decreased by 3.04%
1 Month
62.00%
increased by 1.26%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9048 | 3.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1595 | 13.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7950 | 50.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1097 | 3.09*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0156 | 13.36*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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