V-Lab
Havila Kystruten As EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
60.28%
increased by 4.18%
1 Week
61.89%
increased by 5.79%
1 Month
66.72%
increased by 10.62%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 51% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1780 | 6.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2649 | 16.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9436 | 97.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0540 | -2.44** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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