Deutsche Lufthansa AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
38.51%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
38.52%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Month
38.57%
decreased by 0.96%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 163% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0218 | 10.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0757 | 20.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9879 | 1,524.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0340 | -13.03*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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