V-Lab
Bayer AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
31.90%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
31.99%
decreased by 0.78%
1 Month
32.34%
decreased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 264% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0193 | 8.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0899 | 32.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9883 | 1,175.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0512 | -17.40*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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