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V-Lab

Bayer AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

31.90%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

31.99%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Month

32.34%

decreased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 264% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0193
8.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0899
32.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9883
1,175.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0512
-17.40***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days