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V-Lab

Merck KGaA EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

27.03%

increased by 0.22%

1 Week

27.23%

increased by 0.42%

1 Month

27.97%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Merck KGaA EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 20, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 74% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0198
11.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0818
29.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9882
1,058.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0222
-7.15***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days