Merck KGaA EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
27.03%
increased by 0.22%
1 Week
27.23%
increased by 0.42%
1 Month
27.97%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 20, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 74% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0198 | 11.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0818 | 29.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9882 | 1,058.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0222 | -7.15*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
58 days
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities