V-Lab
BASF SE EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
20.71%
increased by 2.06%
1 Week
21.00%
increased by 2.35%
1 Month
22.03%
increased by 3.38%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 177% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 177% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0256 | 3.71*** |
| αARCH | 0.1292 | 9.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9781 | 266.43*** |
| γleverage | -0.0606 | -4.81*** |
0.978
Persistence31d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0256 | 3.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1292 | 9.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9781 | 266.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0606 | -4.81*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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