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V-Lab
V-Lab

BASF SE EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.71%

increased by 2.06%

1 Week

21.00%

increased by 2.35%

1 Month

22.03%

increased by 3.38%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BASF SE EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 177% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 177% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0256
3.71***
αARCH0.1292
9.14***
βGARCH0.9781
266.43***
γleverage-0.0606
-4.81***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0256
3.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1292
9.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9781
266.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0606
-4.81***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days