Taisei Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
47.92%
increased by 4.97%
1 Week
47.44%
increased by 4.49%
1 Month
45.94%
increased by 2.99%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:36 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0642 | 18.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2053 | 38.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9662 | 521.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0464 | -9.54*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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