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V-Lab

Taisei Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

47.56%

increased by 3.34%

1 Week

47.37%

increased by 3.15%

1 Month

46.67%

increased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 12:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taisei Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.27 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.7640
5.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
33.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9889
464.93***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2691
8.88***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days