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V-Lab

Taisei Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

34.07%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

34.14%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Month

34.43%

decreased by 0.95%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taisei Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.28 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-lifev = 5.28 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run5.7214
1.28
αscore0.0655
8.32***
βpersistence0.9890
116.59***
νDF5.2763
2.19**

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

5.7214
1.28
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0655
8.32***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9890
116.59***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2763
2.19**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days