V-Lab
Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Co., Ltd. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
42.99%
increased by 3.52%
1 Week
45.07%
increased by 5.60%
1 Month
50.47%
increased by 11.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 4.26 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 14.2862 | 1.31 |
| αARCH | 0.1214 | 3.92*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9448 | 21.04*** |
| νDF | 4.2608 | 1.48 |
0.945
Persistence12d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.2862 | 1.31 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1214 | 3.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9448 | 21.04*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.2608 | 1.48 |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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