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V-Lab

Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Co., Ltd. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

42.99%

increased by 3.52%

1 Week

45.07%

increased by 5.60%

1 Month

50.47%

increased by 11.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Co., Ltd. GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 4.26 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst14.2862
1.31
αARCH0.1214
3.92***
βGARCH0.9448
21.04***
νDF4.2608
1.48

0.945

Persistence

12d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.2862
1.31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1214
3.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9448
21.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2608
1.48

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days