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V-Lab

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

42.41%

decreased by 2.38%

1 Week

42.25%

decreased by 2.54%

1 Month

41.72%

decreased by 3.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 2, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.2060
5.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0612
18.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9701
159.67***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1414
6.15***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days