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Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

53.59%

decreased by 7.77%

1 Week

53.33%

decreased by 8.03%

1 Month

52.73%

decreased by 8.63%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.19 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 4.19 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run10.6999
2.49**
αscore0.1273
4.71***
βpersistence0.9161
25.30***
νDF4.1945
1.99**

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

10.6999
2.49**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1273
4.71***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9161
25.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1945
1.99**

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days