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V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

41.75%

decreased by 3.11%

1 Week

43.25%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Month

46.76%

increased by 1.90%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.62 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4544
7.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1057
16.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9227
83.18***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6172
8.19***

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days