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V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

49.03%

increased by 11.12%

1 Week

49.37%

increased by 11.46%

1 Month

50.18%

increased by 12.27%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.61 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4479
7.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1057
16.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9230
82.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6055
8.25***

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days