Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
43.95%
decreased by 4.72%
1 Week
45.08%
decreased by 3.59%
1 Month
47.77%
decreased by 0.90%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2006 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 3.59 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 10.4346 | 1.87* |
| αARCH | 0.1058 | 4.15*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9216 | 20.48*** |
| νDF | 3.5923 | 2.07** |
0.922
Persistence8d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.4346 | 1.87* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1058 | 4.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9216 | 20.48*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.5923 | 2.07** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
8 days
Other Kei Industries Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities