Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
41.75%
decreased by 3.11%
1 Week
43.25%
decreased by 1.61%
1 Month
46.76%
increased by 1.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.62 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.4544 | 7.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1057 | 16.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9227 | 83.18*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.6172 | 8.19*** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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