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Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

43.95%

decreased by 4.72%

1 Week

45.08%

decreased by 3.59%

1 Month

47.77%

decreased by 0.90%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 3.59 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst10.4346
1.87*
αARCH0.1058
4.15***
βGARCH0.9216
20.48***
νDF3.5923
2.07**

0.922

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4346
1.87*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1058
4.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9216
20.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5923
2.07**

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

8 days