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V-Lab

Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

41.79%

increased by 0.81%

1 Week

43.27%

increased by 2.29%

1 Month

46.76%

increased by 5.78%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kei Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4639
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1050
16.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9235
82.50***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5899
8.28***

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days