V-Lab
Kei Industries Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
47.49%
decreased by 2.68%
1 Week
47.92%
decreased by 2.25%
1 Month
49.05%
decreased by 1.12%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6767 | 20.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1072 | 29.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8270 | 145.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0106 | -0.10 |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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