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V-Lab

Denka Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

40.49%

increased by 1.24%

1 Week

40.34%

increased by 1.09%

1 Month

39.87%

increased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Denka Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.99) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0824
11.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0921
30.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8778
301.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.9863
19.16***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days