Fresenius SE & Co KGaA AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
24.95%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
25.19%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Month
26.04%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 7, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.69) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0404 | 10.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0599 | 31.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9222 | 344.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6877 | 17.47*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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