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Fresenius SE & Co KGaA AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

28.43%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Week

28.53%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

28.88%

decreased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius SE & Co KGaA AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 1992 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.69) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0402
2.70***
αARCH0.0594
8.04***
βGARCH0.9227
87.26***
γleverage0.6937
4.41***

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0402
2.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0594
8.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9227
87.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6937
4.41***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days