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V-Lab

Fresenius SE & Co KGaA AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

24.95%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

25.19%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Month

26.04%

increased by 0.33%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius SE & Co KGaA AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.69) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0404
10.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0599
31.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9222
344.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6877
17.47***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days