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Fresenius SE & Co KGaA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

27.72%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

27.81%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

28.14%

increased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius SE & Co KGaA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 1992 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.63 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 46-day half-lifev = 4.63 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run3.7288
1.27
αscore0.0598
6.37***
βpersistence0.9851
80.52***
νDF4.6301
2.05**

0.985

Persistence

46d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

3.7288
1.27
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0598
6.37***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9851
80.52***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6301
2.05**

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days