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V-Lab

G-Shank Enterprise Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

64.48%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Week

64.50%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Month

64.56%

decreased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of G-Shank Enterprise Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2001 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.90 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

20.2588
7.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0646
96.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
7,291.97***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8965
293.67***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days