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V-Lab

UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

52.57%

increased by 1.58%

1 Week

52.53%

increased by 1.54%

1 Month

52.38%

increased by 1.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 14, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 376 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.07 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~376 daysv = 6.07 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run7.2397
2.10**
αscore0.0922
20.08***
βpersistence0.9982
1,306.49***
νDF6.0733
5.76***

0.998

Persistence

376d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

7.2397
2.10**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0922
20.08***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9982
1,306.49***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0733
5.76***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

376 days