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V-Lab

Planetel Spa GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

55.12%

increased by 7.85%

1 Week

53.84%

increased by 6.57%

1 Month

50.19%

increased by 2.92%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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All

graph of Planetel Spa GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 15, 2021 to Jun 26, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.98 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.2442
2.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1551
12.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9389
37.68***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.9785
10.77***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days