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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

756.58%

increased by 0.99%

1 Week

756.41%

increased by 0.82%

1 Month

755.76%

increased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of GCM Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.02 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,781.5719
11.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0483
102.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0156

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days