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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,650.63%

increased by 254.50%

1 Week

5,649.31%

increased by 253.18%

1 Month

5,644.08%

increased by 247.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of GCM Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

97,178.7400
12.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0475
94.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0005

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days