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GCM Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

4,966.70%

increased by 270.86%

1 Week

4,966.15%

increased by 270.31%

1 Month

4,963.98%

increased by 268.14%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of GCM Corp Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst87,128.1855
3.10***
αARCH0.0475
23.56***
βGARCH0.9990
2,982.09***
νDF2.0005

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

87,128.1855
3.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0475
23.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
2,982.09***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0005

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days