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Daito Chemix Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

372.05%

increased by 28.43%

1 Week

370.18%

increased by 26.56%

1 Month

363.50%

increased by 19.88%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Chemix Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst400.5741
0.63
αARCH0.0977
14.35***
βGARCH0.9812
31.41***
νDF2.0140
423.38***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

400.5741
0.63
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0977
14.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9812
31.41***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0140
423.38***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days