V-Lab
Daito Chemix Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
372.05%
increased by 28.43%
1 Week
370.18%
increased by 26.56%
1 Month
363.50%
increased by 19.88%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:33 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 400.5741 | 0.63 |
| αARCH | 0.0977 | 14.35*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9812 | 31.41*** |
| νDF | 2.0140 | 423.38*** |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 400.5741 | 0.63 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0977 | 14.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9812 | 31.41*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0140 | 423.38*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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