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V-Lab

Daito Chemix Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

49.24%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Week

53.48%

increased by 2.78%

1 Month

54.11%

increased by 3.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daito Chemix Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow81
αARCH0.1670
5.67***
βGARCH0.5133
6.14***
γleverage-0.0222
-0.54
λ₁tau intercept0.1921
1.53
λ₂forecast adj.0.0971
1.95*
λ₃tau persistence0.8819
14.22***

0.669

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1670
5.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5133
6.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0222
-0.54
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1921
1.53
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0971
1.95*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8819
14.22***

Persistence:

0.669

Half-life:

2 days