Landi Renzo SPA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
47.52%
increased by 1.51%
1 Week
48.24%
increased by 2.23%
1 Month
50.53%
increased by 4.52%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 160% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0656 | 10.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8503 | 88.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1047 | 7.62*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2556 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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