V-Lab
Landi Renzo SPA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
45.34%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
46.23%
increased by 0.19%
1 Month
49.02%
increased by 2.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 161% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0652 | 10.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8504 | 88.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1053 | 7.69*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.5647 | 0.55 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3620 | 0.30 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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