V-Lab
Landi Renzo SPA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
46.50%
decreased by 2.32%
1 Week
47.31%
decreased by 1.51%
1 Month
49.86%
increased by 1.04%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 162% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0651 | 10.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8505 | 89.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1058 | 7.71*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.34 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2601 | 0.12 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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