Skip to main content
V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

36.69%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Week

36.65%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Month

36.80%

decreased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 113% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0428
18.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8840
126.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0483
13.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0091
4.65***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0245
3.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9736
124.70***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days