Skip to main content
V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

30.97%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

31.51%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

33.11%

increased by 1.78%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 113% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0427
18.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8842
126.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0480
13.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0091
4.66***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0244
3.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9737
125.20***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days