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V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

23.88%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

24.03%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Month

24.60%

increased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 172 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 78% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0233
10.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0361
14.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9457
700.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0282
6.29***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

172 days