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V-Lab

Tate & Lyle Plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

24.11%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

26.69%

increased by 2.42%

1 Month

30.46%

increased by 6.19%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tate & Lyle Plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6620
17.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1783
10.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6533
41.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0263
1.10

Persistence:

0.845

Half-life:

4 days