V-Lab
G K P Printing & Packaging GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
44.27%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Week
45.79%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
50.21%
increased by 4.79%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 8, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5926 | 9.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1138 | 5.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8619 | 94.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0311 | -0.91 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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