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V-Lab

G K P Printing & Packaging AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

45.79%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Week

47.75%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

52.96%

increased by 5.13%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of G K P Printing & Packaging AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 8, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -0.70) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7559
12.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1300
19.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8175
149.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.6985
-3.03***

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days