Gujarat Energy Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
30.84%
decreased by 2.29%
1 Week
31.48%
decreased by 1.65%
1 Month
32.09%
decreased by 1.04%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1314 | 13.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1232 | 12.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6039 | 33.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1278 | -1.42 |
Persistence:
0.727
Half-life:
2 days
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