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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.84%

decreased by 2.29%

1 Week

31.48%

decreased by 1.65%

1 Month

32.09%

decreased by 1.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1314
13.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1232
12.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6039
33.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1278
-1.42

Persistence:

0.727

Half-life:

2 days