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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

33.18%

decreased by 3.67%

1 Week

32.82%

decreased by 4.03%

1 Month

32.47%

decreased by 4.38%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1508
13.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1246
12.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5972
33.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1365
-1.53

Persistence:

0.722

Half-life:

2 days