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V-Lab

Guangdong Qunxing Toys Joint-Stock Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

52.00%

decreased by 3.64%

1 Week

52.01%

decreased by 3.63%

1 Month

52.06%

decreased by 3.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Qunxing Toys Joint-Stock Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2011 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -0.28) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4705
15.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1207
28.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8349
142.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2779
-3.69***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days