V-Lab
Guangdong Qunxing Toys Joint-Stock Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
65.32%
decreased by 3.88%
1 Week
64.60%
decreased by 4.60%
1 Month
62.17%
decreased by 7.03%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 22% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3297 | 14.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1052 | 16.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8735 | 181.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0190 | -1.97** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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