Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guangdong Qunxing Toys Joint-Stock Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

65.32%

decreased by 3.88%

1 Week

64.60%

decreased by 4.60%

1 Month

62.17%

decreased by 7.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guangdong Qunxing Toys Joint-Stock Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 22% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3297
14.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1052
16.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8735
181.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0190
-1.97**

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days