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V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

73.91%

decreased by 32.98%

1 Week

72.56%

decreased by 34.33%

1 Month

70.44%

decreased by 36.45%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 235% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.1830
6.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7138
3.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3684
6.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5008
-2.25**

Persistence:

0.832

Half-life:

4 days