V-Lab
Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
53.85%
decreased by 8.26%
1 Week
59.45%
decreased by 2.66%
1 Month
64.20%
increased by 2.09%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 6.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4852 | 3.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2708 | 3.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0897 | -0.41 |
Persistence:
0.711
Half-life:
2 days
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