V-Lab
Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
49.59%
decreased by 2.64%
1 Week
57.47%
increased by 5.24%
1 Month
64.00%
increased by 11.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.73* |
| αARCH | 0.4455 | 0.83 |
| βGARCH | 0.2797 | 0.99 |
| γleverage | -0.0198 | -0.02 |
0.715
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.73* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4455 | 0.83 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2797 | 0.99 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0198 | -0.02 |
Persistence:
0.715
Half-life:
2 days
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