Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
50.57%
increased by 2.31%
1 Week
51.06%
increased by 2.80%
1 Month
51.56%
increased by 3.30%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.7748 | 3.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2365 | 3.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5193 | 5.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0333 | -0.24 |
Persistence:
0.739
Half-life:
2 days
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