Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

66.15%

decreased by 23.20%

1 Week

69.63%

decreased by 19.72%

1 Month

73.78%

decreased by 15.57%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7798
3.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4260
1.55
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3610
1.15
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-2.7861
-1.50

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days