Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
43.12%
decreased by 2.57%
1 Week
48.06%
increased by 2.37%
1 Month
51.29%
increased by 5.60%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.9630 | 6.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2675 | 9.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3689 | 5.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0111 | -0.05 |
Persistence:
0.636
Half-life:
2 days
Other Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd Analyses
Other AGARCH Analyses on International Equities