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V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

43.65%

decreased by 3.57%

1 Week

53.93%

increased by 6.71%

1 Month

59.32%

increased by 12.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.0941
3.24***
αARCH0.4322
1.69*
βGARCH0.1541
0.82
γleverage0.2524
0.26

0.586

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.0941
3.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4322
1.69*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1541
0.82
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2524
0.26

Persistence:

0.586

Half-life:

1 days