V-Lab
Inventiva SA AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
75.39%
decreased by 10.28%
1 Week
75.03%
decreased by 10.64%
1 Month
74.25%
decreased by 11.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.43) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7458 | 13.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1862 | 13.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7141 | 70.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.4347 | -9.39*** |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
Other AGARCH Analyses on International Equities