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V-Lab

Inventiva SA AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

75.39%

decreased by 10.28%

1 Week

75.03%

decreased by 10.64%

1 Month

74.25%

decreased by 11.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Inventiva SA AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.43) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7458
13.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1862
13.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7141
70.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.4347
-9.39***

Persistence:

0.900

Half-life:

7 days