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V-Lab

Inventiva SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

53.00%

increased by 0.76%

1 Week

61.07%

increased by 8.83%

1 Month

66.49%

increased by 14.25%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Inventiva SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4032
9.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0220
1.69*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3676
-9.10***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.9548
0.46
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6444
0.94
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.241

Half-life:

0 days