V-Lab
Inventiva SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
53.00%
1 Week
61.07%
1 Month
66.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4032 | 9.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0220 | 1.69* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3676 | -9.10*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.9548 | 0.46 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6444 | 0.94 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.241
Half-life:
0 days
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