Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

41.44%

increased by 1.43%

1 Week

40.74%

increased by 0.73%

1 Month

39.04%

decreased by 0.97%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:27 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 1994 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0886
6.16***
βGARCH0.8245
42.28***
γleverage0.0058
0.29
λ₁tau intercept0.0149
1.46
λ₂forecast adj.0.0138
3.23***
λ₃tau persistence0.9843
198.96***

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0886
6.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8245
42.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0058
0.29
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0149
1.46
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0138
3.23***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9843
198.96***

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days