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V-Lab

Rheinmetall AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

68.98%

decreased by 1.50%

1 Week

69.00%

decreased by 1.48%

1 Month

69.10%

decreased by 1.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rheinmetall AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 362 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0616
4.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9446
133.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0164
-1.28
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.73
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5505
0.82

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

362 days